Navigating starting pitchers in fantasy baseball drafts can be treacherous, with many players underperforming relative to their ADP. As we look ahead to the 2025 season, three pitchers stand out as potential busts: Hunter Greene, Shane Baz, and Blake Snell. Greene's impressive 2024 season stats may mislead managers; despite a 2.75 ERA, underlying metrics suggest regression is imminent, coupled with concerns over his health and limited innings. Baz, while talented, is likely to be limited by the Rays' management of his workload post-surgery, making him risky at his current ADP. Lastly, Snell's history of injuries raises doubts about his ability to maintain a significant workload, which could cap his fantasy output despite his talent. Each of these pitchers poses unique challenges for savvy managers aiming for success in their drafts.

Hunter Greene is aiming for an even more stellar season in 2025 after a breakout 2024 where he achieved a career-high 150 1/3 innings pitched and a remarkable 2.75 ERA. His goals for the upcoming season include surpassing 180 innings, maintaining an ERA below 3.00, and reaching 200 strikeouts. Additionally, Greene aspires to secure his second consecutive All-Star appearance and compete for the prestigious Cy Young Award. His ambitions not only highlight his personal growth but also signify positive prospects for the Cincinnati Reds.

Fantasy baseball managers are often eager to invest in breakout players, yet caution is warranted when evaluating their potential for sustained success. This analysis highlights three starting pitchers from the 2024 season whose impressive performances may not be replicable in 2025. Understandably, fantasy enthusiasts are looking for reliable options, but not all breakouts translate into consistent value.

First on the list is Luis Gil of the New York Yankees, who, despite winning the American League Rookie of the Year, displayed alarming regression signs, particularly in his second-half statistics. Additionally, Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals had a stellar 2024 but also showed signs of downturn, raising questions about his ability to maintain such performance levels. Lastly, Hunter Greene from the Cincinnati Reds overcame earlier struggles but may have overperformed, leading to skepticism about his future as a top draft pick.

Hunter Greene's 2024 season marked a significant breakthrough, where he showcased his potential as a top-tier pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. With a record of 9-5 and an impressive 2.75 ERA, Greene also achieved a career-high of 150 1/3 innings pitched, culminating in his first All-Star selection. He emphasized the importance of fastball command and making subtle adjustments to keep hitters off balance. Greene expressed his desire to expand his pitch repertoire, aiming to complicate hitters' thought processes at the plate.

As he prepares for the 2025 season, Greene is motivated to build upon his success and solidify his status as an ace. His commitment extends beyond personal achievements; he seeks to be a reliable presence for his teammates, contributing significantly to the club's overall performance and success. Greene's competitive mindset is reinforced by a fierce determination to dominate on the mound, making him a key player to watch in the upcoming season.

On the first day of full workouts, new Cincinnati Reds manager Terry Francona inspired his players with a rousing speech, igniting excitement for the upcoming season. The players expressed high praise for Francona's ability to energize the team, emphasizing trust in his leadership, with ace Hunter Greene stating, "His presence is great. He commands the room." Santiago Espinal referred to him as a "legend," while Jeimer Candelario expressed confidence in Francona's experience and ability to guide the team to success.

As the Reds prepare for spring training games, the players are eager to translate Francona's motivational message into on-field performance. With a blend of excitement and determination, the squad appears ready to embrace the new season under Francona's leadership.