The Oklahoma City Thunder are set to host the Memphis Grizzlies at the Paycom Center, marking the beginning of a five-game home stand. Currently, the Thunder boast an impressive ten-game winning streak, holding a record of 25-5, which places them as the top team in the Western Conference. On the other side, the Grizzlies, with a record of 22-10, rank as the second-best team in the West and have shown strong form with an 8-2 record in their last ten games.
However, Memphis will be challenged by injuries, particularly the absence of star player Ja Morant. This situation has led to Oklahoma City being favored by 7.5 points in the matchup. Despite the Thunder's recent dominance, the spread suggests a competitive game between two skilled teams. Memphis's defensive capabilities, ranked fifth in the NBA, will be crucial as they prepare to face the Thunder's top-ranked defense. Jaren Jackson Jr. is expected to play a pivotal role in disrupting Oklahoma City's offensive flow, especially against rising star Jalen Williams.
With Zach Edey also ruled out for Memphis due to a concussion, the matchup becomes even more intriguing. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is anticipated to step up, likely matched against Desmond Bane in the absence of Marcus Smart. The game could hinge on the contributions from rookies Ajay Mitchell and Jaylen Wells, who have emerged as key players in the rookie class. Ultimately, the prediction leans toward Memphis covering the spread, as the Grizzlies' defensive strategy could limit the Thunder's scoring opportunities, making for a nail-biting contest.