Fantasy baseball managers are often eager to invest in breakout players, yet caution is warranted when evaluating their potential for sustained success. This analysis highlights three starting pitchers from the 2024 season whose impressive performances may not be replicable in 2025. Understandably, fantasy enthusiasts are looking for reliable options, but not all breakouts translate into consistent value.

First on the list is Luis Gil of the New York Yankees, who, despite winning the American League Rookie of the Year, displayed alarming regression signs, particularly in his second-half statistics. Additionally, Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals had a stellar 2024 but also showed signs of downturn, raising questions about his ability to maintain such performance levels. Lastly, Hunter Greene from the Cincinnati Reds overcame earlier struggles but may have overperformed, leading to skepticism about his future as a top draft pick.