Fantasy baseball managers are often eager to invest in breakout players, yet caution is warranted when evaluating their potential for sustained success. This analysis highlights three starting pitchers from the 2024 season whose impressive performances may not be replicable in 2025. Understandably, fantasy enthusiasts are looking for reliable options, but not all breakouts translate into consistent value.

First on the list is Luis Gil of the New York Yankees, who, despite winning the American League Rookie of the Year, displayed alarming regression signs, particularly in his second-half statistics. Additionally, Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals had a stellar 2024 but also showed signs of downturn, raising questions about his ability to maintain such performance levels. Lastly, Hunter Greene from the Cincinnati Reds overcame earlier struggles but may have overperformed, leading to skepticism about his future as a top draft pick.

Luis Gil of the New York Yankees edged out Colton Cowser of the Baltimore Orioles for the 2024 American League Rookie of the Year title, securing 15 first-place votes and 106 total points compared to Cowser's 13 votes and 101 points. Both players finished the season with a 3.1 bWAR. Gil, who was signed as an international free agent in 2015, made a surprising impact after overcoming Tommy John surgery in 2022. In the early months of 2024, Gil was in Cy Young contention, boasting a 15-7 record with a 3.50 ERA and 171 strikeouts. Despite this success, concerns about his walk rates and consistency linger for the coming seasons.

The New York Yankees' farm system is experiencing a shift as several top prospects have moved up to the major leagues or been traded away. Notably, Anthony Volpe and Austin Wells are no longer considered prospects, and Drew Thorpe was traded in the deal for Juan Soto. The latest preseason prospect lists show limited representation for the Yankees, with only Jasson Domínguez and George Lombard Jr. making the cut. Domínguez is seen as a promising talent but has faced challenges, while Lombard is still developing.

Despite this, the Yankees have made significant investments in young talent, including the recent signing of 16-year-old shortstop Mani Cedeno. The Yankees' farm system ranks lower than rivals like the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, but they have a history of developing successful players.

The MLB offseason is reaching a critical juncture as players and teams prepare for the upcoming spring training. With the report date for pitchers and catchers set for February 10, several high-profile free agents remain unsigned, including Alex Bregman. Among the intriguing stories is Roki Sasaki, a 23-year-old right-handed pitcher, who has narrowed his options to three teams: the Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego Padres, and Toronto Blue Jays. Sasaki is expected to make his decision by January 23, following the opening of the international free agency window.

Previously, the Chicago Cubs were reportedly eliminated from contention for Sasaki's services. The talented pitcher, recognized as the most skilled player outside of an MLB organization, has drawn attention due to his impressive statistics and potential to be an immediate impactful starter. Despite injuries limiting him to just 33 starts in the last two seasons, his showing in Japan's NPB, where he recorded a 2.35 ERA and 129 strikeouts last season, underscores his capabilities.

As the market for Sasaki intensifies, other teams such as the New York Yankees, New York Mets, San Francisco Giants, and Texas Rangers have been informed they are out of the running. The Yankees' current rotation boasts notable names like Gerrit Cole and Max Fried, while the Mets are relying on pitchers led by Sean Manaea and Kodai Senga. The Giants, following the signing of Justin Verlander, have also seen their hopes dashed. The Blue Jays have recently hosted Sasaki for discussions about a potential signing, while the Padres also remain heavily involved in his pursuit.

The New York Yankees faced a significant challenge this offseason after losing out on star outfielder Juan Soto to the New York Mets. Despite this setback, the organization has been proactive in addressing their roster needs, focusing on filling multiple gaps left by Soto's departure.

General Manager Brian Cashman has spearheaded a busy offseason, notably signing left-handed pitcher Max Fried to the most lucrative contract for a southpaw in MLB history at $218 million over eight years. This addition strengthens an already robust rotation that includes Gerrit Cole and AL Rookie of the Year Luis Gil.

The Yankees also targeted their bullpen, acquiring two-time All-Star closer Devin Williams from the Milwaukee Brewers, aiming to bolster the relief corps after losing Clay Holmes. Additionally, they secured power-hitting outfielder Cody Bellinger and veteran first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to enhance their batting lineup and defensive capabilities.