The Miami Dolphins face a critical matchup against the Cleveland Browns, with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread. A loss for Miami would severely diminish their chances of postseason play, reducing their odds to less than 1%. Conversely, a victory could raise their chances from 10% to 14%, keeping their aspirations alive. Currently holding a 7-8 record, the Dolphins are coming off a solid 29-17 win against the San Francisco 49ers and will need to secure victories in their last two games against the Browns and the New York Jets to remain in contention for the playoffs.
The Browns, tied for the second-worst record in the NFL at 3-12, are in a precarious position as they prepare to host the Dolphins. With their upcoming game against the Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland is faced with the dilemma of playing to win or potentially securing a top draft pick. Dorian Thompson-Robinson will once again start at quarterback, as the Browns might strategically choose to lose to improve their draft position. Thompson-Robinson has struggled this season, yet his ability to run could be a factor against Miami.
As both teams prepare for their showdown, betting odds favor the Dolphins, with a moneyline of -298 compared to the Browns' +240. The spread sits at Miami -6.5, indicating confidence in the Dolphins' ability to secure a win. The total points projected for the game have dropped significantly, reflecting concerns over Cleveland's offensive capabilities, particularly with Thompson-Robinson's lack of touchdown passes this season. Injury reports also play a crucial role, with several key players from both teams listed as questionable or out, impacting their respective game plans.
