In the ever-evolving landscape of fantasy football, understanding player performance trends, particularly regarding touchdowns, is crucial for strategizing future lineups. As we approach 2025, the focus shifts to players who may experience regression in their touchdown production based on historical performance metrics.

Terry McLaurin of the Washington Commanders had a breakout season with 13 touchdowns, far exceeding his target volume. Meanwhile, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Tee Higgins also showed signs of positive touchdown spikes, yet their target metrics suggest potential for decline as well. Jordan Addison and DeVonta Smith are similarly positioned, having scored notably high touchdowns relative to their opportunities. As for rookie standout Jalen McMillan and Quentin Johnston, both are highlighted as regression candidates following unexpectedly high touchdown counts despite limited target shares.