In 2012, an NFL quarterback formula was created based on college production, but predicting future success is impossible due to various factors. The 2024 class of quarterbacks has Caleb Williams leading with an impressive score, followed by J.J. McCarthy. While the formula rates quarterbacks based on throwing ability, it doesn't consider rushing. Notable past quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes have excelled in the NFL, showing exceptions to below-average scores. Five quarterbacks from this class are expected to go in the first round, but red flags exist for some in specific categories like red-zone performance and arm strength.